Research

Refereed Publications

This paper examines whether wildlife crossing structures reduce the number of wildlife–vehicle collisions. Using Washington state crash data from 2011 to 2020, I employed a difference-in-differences methodology at the year level on each of 13 observed wildlife crossing structures in Washington. The treatment area consisted of wildlife–vehicle collisions within 10 mi of a wildlife crossing structure, and the control area included wildlife–vehicle collisions that were 60 to 70 mi from the same wildlife crossing structure. I found evidence that wildlife crossing structures resulted in one to three fewer wildlife–vehicle collisions on average per mile per year. The marginal treatment effect also held within a 5-mi treatment area, a 15-mi treatment area, and when controlling for the presence of other structures within the baseline of a 10-mi treatment area. However, the collision reductions were more consistent among wildlife bridges than culverts, suggesting that not all wildlife crossing structures have the same effect in reducing accidents involving wildlife. Using a back-of-the-envelope approach, each wildlife crossing structure yielded annual benefits of $235,000 to 443,000 in 2021 U.S. dollars. 

Wildlife Overcrossing on I-90 near Snoqualmie Pass, Washington. Photo Courtesy of WSDOT.

Working Papers

Crashless in Seattle? Spatial Relationships Between Traffic Stop and Vehicle Accident Locations

Wisnu Sugiarto

This paper studies the efficiency of public resource allocations in the context of traffic stops and car accidents in an urban setting. Law enforcement agencies often use traffic stops to enhance public safety and prevent car accidents, but the frequency and location of these stops are subject to resource constraints and discretion. To address these complexities, I employ comprehensive datasets from the Seattle Police Department (SPD) and create a novel dataset encompassing urban characteristics and road topography by using publicly available data and Google Places application programming interface (API). These data allow me to extract traffic stop frequencies and locations, and compare them with accident data from the Washington State Department of Transportation (WSDOT) at the census block level while controlling for police presence and location attributes. To account for the characteristics of count data and address endogeneity concerns, I utilize an Instrumental Variables (IV) Poisson Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) approach. The instrumental variables approach utilizes quasi-experimental variation in the spatial distributions of non-categorical and non-violent offenses, trespassing incidents, and population census data on racial minorities to estimate causal effects. The results suggest that an additional traffic stop reduces the reported total number of accidents by about 8%. There is geographic heterogeneity in the effect of increasing traffic stops on accidents, with more affluent areas benefiting less from an increase in traffic stops.  

Crash locations by severity level in (part of) Seattle in 2022

The tire byproduct 6PPD-quinone is lethal to several salmonid species when it is washed off roads into waterways. We study private consumer demand for a hypothetical, reformulated “Salmon Safe” tire with an online survey of n=695 vehicle owners in California, Oregon, and Washington. Using a pre-registered study design, we also test whether consumers comprehend information differently when the science component of the survey is presented as narrated video or static text and images, and whether forcing consumers to deliberate for 45 – 60 seconds affects their decision and choice certainty. We find that the median respondent would be willing to pay approximately 10% more, or $76, for a set of four reformulated tires, though approximately 25% of subjects were willing to pay $225 or more.  Information presentation and forced deliberation had no effect on willingness to pay for reformulated tires or comprehension, but weak (and negative) effects on choice certainty.



Decision to purchase hypothetical Salmon Safe tire by treatment groups. TTT = Time To Think.

The x-axis represents the percent increase in the cost of a set of four reformulated tires. The y-axis represents the share of respondents who reported they were willing to purchase at a specified premium.  


 Kevin Willardsen, Javier Portillo, and Wisnu Sugiarto

In March of 2017 Utah became the first state in the United States to lower the legal blood alcohol content (BAC) for driving from 0.08 to 0.05 g/dL. We take advantage of the fact that enforcement was delayed until 2019 to test whether this policy change significantly affected the number of traffic accidents or the severity of those accidents. We employ a difference-in-differences strategy on Utah counties using neighboring states as controls. Results show the policy appears to decrease the total number of accidents, limited primarily to property damage-only accidents. Surprisingly, we find strong effects during the day on weekdays and weekends. We confirm our findings using a doubly robust difference-in-differences estimator. We believe these results may be partially explained by drivers who, after the policy is enacted, avoid reporting property damage-only accidents if possible. Using insurance claims data, we show there is no corresponding fall in insurance claims or payouts suggesting that the fall in total accidents likely comes from under-reporting.



Total accidents per capita per half-year

A Systematic Review of Behavior Change Campaigns in Stormwater and Water Quality

Wisnu Sugiarto and Joseph Cook

Governments and environmental NGOs in the United States and around the world implement behavior change campaigns to prevent and manage stormwater runoff and nonpoint source pollution. What is the evidence that these programs succeed in modifying behavior? In this paper, we use a systematic review approach to identify, evaluate, and summarize evaluations of the effect of behavior change campaigns in water quality or stormwater management. We collected 47 studies from peer-reviewed journals and the gray literature and assessed the quality of each study based on nine metrics. All studies reported that behavior change campaigns had some degree of successes in persuading people to adopt stormwater runoff mitigation practices. However, we found that very few studies (13%) used a control group and 36% did not report or use baseline data. Furthermore, most evaluations (81%) measured behavior change based on self-reported information from surveys and 36% measured long-term changes, one year or longer. Given the large and growing staff and financial investments in these campaigns in the US and around the world, it is important that future evaluations produce higher-quality evidence of whether these investments produce sufficient benefit. 



Systematic Review Flow Chart

Non-Refereed Articles

This report describes the results of a comprehensive review of peer-reviewed studies and “gray literature” reports that have evaluated behavior change campaigns in water quality or stormwater. We identify, evaluate, and summarize existing studies on behavior change campaigns associated with water quality or stormwater management.  This task is part of a larger project on these campaigns for the Stormwater Action Monitoring (SAM) program, funded by permittees and administered by the Washington Department of Ecology. The title of the larger project is “Evaluating the effectiveness of stormwater education and outreach: permittee guidance for addressing challenges through behavior change”. By “behavior change”, we mean programs that seek to get people to change a concrete behavior, such as picking up pet waste or reducing fertilizer use, rather than other “education and outreach” programs that seek to communicate information or change attitudes or programs that provide stewardship and volunteer opportunities without clear quantitative measure.



We conducted a nationwide survey of staff at public agencies (cities, counties, conservation districts) who conduct behavior change campaigns in stormwater or water quality. This survey was part of a larger project on these campaigns funded by the Stormwater Action Monitoring (SAM) program (funded by permittees and administered by the WA Department of Ecology). By “behavior change”, we mean programs that seek to get people to change a concrete behavior, such as picking up pet waste or reducing fertilizer use, rather than other “education and outreach” programs that seek to communicate information or change attitudes or programs that provide stewardship and volunteer opportunities. The objective of the survey was to understand how staff chose behavior change programs, how they evaluated them, and the key constraints and opportunities in the increased use of these tools. It was also intended for staff who oversaw consultants who designed, implemented or evaluated behavior change programs